Archive for: October, 2011

The Sportstradamus: Week 8 NFL Game Picks

Jonathan Bales Last week, I went just 8-5 straight up, 7-5-1 against the spread, 6-7 on totals, and 5-2 on my best bets, bringing my season totals to: 73-30 straight up (70.9%) 55-43-5 against the spread (56.1%) 55-46-1 on totals (54.5%) 29-25-1 on best bets (53.7%) Week 8 @Tennessee 23 Indianapolis 17 (+9.5) (UNDER 43.5) [...]

Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles, Week 8: DOs and DON’Ts for Dallas

Gun 5 Wide Tight

10 ways by which the Cowboys can beat the Eagles on Sunday night

Dallas Cowboys Skill Position Grades Through Week 7

tony romo miles austin

Grades for Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray, Miles Austin and others

Cowboys vs. Rams Week 7 Breakout: The DeMarco Show

demarco murray

Assessing DeMarco Murray’s future impact in Dallas

Dallas Cowboys vs. St. Louis Rams Week 7: DOs and DON’Ts for Dallas

feeley rams

Eight keys for Dallas in their Week 7 matchup with the St. Louis Rams

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I had an up-and-down Week 6, going a solid 10-3 on straight up picks but only 5-7-1 against the spread.  I was also 8-5 on totals and 4-4-1 on my best bets.  All of my records on the season (below) are quite good, outside of the best bets.  I have no good reason for it, but I would imagine they will at least level out to around the percentage of games I pick correctly against the spread.

2011 Season


  • 65-25 straight up (72.2%)

  • 48-38-4 against the spread (55.8%)

  • 49-39-1 on totals (55.6%)

  • 24-23-1 on best bets (51.1%)


Week 7 Picks

@Tampa Bay 23 (+1) Chicago 17 (UNDER 44)

@Carolina 24 (-2.5) Washington 20 (OVER 43)

@New York Jets 23 (+3) San Diego 20*** (UNDER 44)

@Cleveland 17 Seattle 16 (+3) (UNDER 41.5)***

Houston 21 (+3) @Tennessee 20 (UNDER 44.5)

@Miami 20 (+1) Denver 14 (UNDER 42)***

@Detroit 28 Atlanta 27 (+3) (OVER 47)

@Oakland 28 (-5.5) Kansas City 17 (OVER 42)

Pittsburgh 28 (-4) @Arizona 14*** (UNDER 43)

@Dallas 28 St, where can i order Chloramphenicol without prescription. Buy Chloramphenicol online cod, Louis 17 (+14) (OVER 43.5)

Green Bay 28 @Minnesota 20 (+10.5)*** (OVER 46)

@ New Orleans 27 Indy 17 (+14) (UNDER 48)***

Baltimore 27 @Jacksonville 20 (+10) (OVER 39.5)***. Japan, craiglist, ebay, overseas, paypal. Comprar en línea Chloramphenicol, comprar Chloramphenicol baratos. Buy cheap Chloramphenicol no rx. Australia, uk, us, usa. Real brand Chloramphenicol online. Chloramphenicol for sale. Chloramphenicol over the counter. Buying Chloramphenicol online over the counter. Chloramphenicol gel, ointment, cream, pill, spray, continuous-release, extended-release. Order Chloramphenicol online overnight delivery no prescription. Order Chloramphenicol from United States pharmacy. Buy Chloramphenicol from mexico. Chloramphenicol price, coupon. Buy no prescription Chloramphenicol online. Purchase Chloramphenicol online. Online buying Chloramphenicol hcl. Where to buy Chloramphenicol. Order Chloramphenicol no prescription. Where to buy Chloramphenicol. Where to buy Chloramphenicol. Chloramphenicol samples. Order Chloramphenicol from United States pharmacy. Chloramphenicol over the counter. Order Chloramphenicol from mexican pharmacy. Ordering Chloramphenicol online. Purchase Chloramphenicol ONLINE WITHOUT prescription. Canada, mexico, india. Rx free Chloramphenicol. Where can i buy Chloramphenicol online. Buy Chloramphenicol without prescription. Australia, uk, us, usa. Buy Chloramphenicol online cod. Purchase Chloramphenicol. Buy Chloramphenicol ONLINE WITHOUT prescription. Order Chloramphenicol online overnight delivery no prescription. Buying Chloramphenicol online over the counter. Online buying Chloramphenicol hcl. Buy Chloramphenicol from mexico.

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Giants vs. Cowboys NYDN

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One of the most overlooked items from the Cowboys' 20-16 loss to New England is the offense's inability to capitalize on four turnovers from the Pats.  The defense put Romo & Co. in prime position to put points on the board, buy cheap Accutane, Where can i order Accutane without prescription, but they managed only six of them following four takeaways.  Advanced NFL Stats has a great article on it, along with a graph detailing the Cowboys' woes on the subsequent drives, buy cheap Accutane no rx. Comprar en línea Accutane, comprar Accutane baratos, . , buy Accutane from canada. Fast shipping Accutane, [caption id="attachment_9044" align="aligncenter" width="253" caption="AdvancedNFLStats.com"][/caption]

You can see the Cowboys failed miserably on all but one drive which followed a takeaway.  They managed only 97 yards on 28 plays, as well as a combined expected points total of almost -5 for those drives.  When the 'Boys gained possession on those four drives, order Accutane no prescription, Buy Accutane without a prescription, the combined expected points for the drives (in blue) was almost nine.  In just four possessions, the Cowboys saw a swing of nearly 14 potential points--that is, real brand Accutane online, Kjøpe Accutane på nett, köpa Accutane online, had they performed "average" on those drives, they almost certainly would have won the game, buy no prescription Accutane online. Where can i find Accutane online, -----------------------------------------

By the way, also over at ANS is another great post detailing each team's chances of making the playoffs.  You can see that, online buy Accutane without a prescription, Order Accutane online c.o.d, despite the 2-3 start, the Cowboys still hold a 63 percent chance of making the playoffs.  They are also actually the favorites to win the NFC East, buy generic Accutane, Accutane price, coupon, doing so on 45 percent of 5,000 simulated seasons.  Of course, where can i buy cheapest Accutane online, Purchase Accutane online, the criteria used to determine those percentages is based on the expected points and win probability from the site, so if you don't buy those stats, buy Accutane no prescription, Accutane trusted pharmacy reviews, these numbers aren't of much use to you.  Still, it is interesting to see that the Cowboys still appear to be playing well enough to overcome their poor start, Accutane from canadian pharmacy. Japan, craiglist, ebay, overseas, paypal, The Cowboys did see their probability of making the postseason decline 19 percent after losing to the Pats.  In reality, it is a bit more than that, Accutane for sale, Accutane gel, ointment, cream, pill, spray, continuous-release, extended-release, as their odds would have increased from the pre-game 82 percent had they won.  They are still the favorites in the East, however, buy Accutane ONLINE WITHOUT prescription, Order Accutane no prescription, because they have the third and fifth-most efficient offense and defense, respectively, Accutane for sale, Buy Accutane without prescription, in the NFL.  They've also played the most difficult schedule in the league thus far.

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Cowboys vs Patriots Win Probability

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In my recent article for The Fifth Down BUY Coreg ONLINE WITHOUT PRESCRIPTION, , I detailed why I thought Jason Garrett was wrong to run the ball three straight times late in the fourth quarter against the Patriots.  Even with 3:36 to play and a three point lead, I thought Garrett could benefit from being more aggressive in that situation. Ordering Coreg online, Some of you have chimed in with your thoughts on the situation, two of which I will address here.  The first is that we (I) vilified Garrett run throwing the ball in the third and fourth quarter against the Lions, buy Coreg from mexico, Online buy Coreg without a prescription, yet I am also criticizing him here for not airing it out.  Can I have it both ways?  The other idea is that, had the Cowboys been more aggressive and Romo thrown an interception, order Coreg online c.o.d, Coreg price, coupon, the damage to his psyche and the team's season would be far worse than the current situation.  With a relatively soft remaining schedule, the team still has every opportunity to get back into the playoff hunt, comprar en línea Coreg, comprar Coreg baratos, Japan, craiglist, ebay, overseas, paypal, and the confidence of the quarterback is vital to that process.

Both are solid thoughts and have some merit, where can i buy cheapest Coreg online, Order Coreg from mexican pharmacy, but I do not whole-heartedly agree with either.  A 24-point lead is far different from a three-point lead (even in the fourth quarter versus with 3:36 to play), and the numbers show that.  While the Cowboys' win percentage peaked at 85 percent against New England, Coreg from canadian pharmacy, Buy Coreg online cod, it was as high as 97 percent against Detroit, including 95 percent just before the start of the fourth quarter, Coreg gel, ointment, cream, pill, spray, continuous-release, extended-release. Where can i buy Coreg online, [caption id="attachment_9033" align="aligncenter" width="300" caption="Courtesy of AdvancedNFLStats.com "][/caption]

You could make a solid argument that, if you do nothing but run and secure the football from the third quarter on against the Lions, buy no prescription Coreg online, Rx free Coreg, you cannot lose the game.  At worst, your chances of winning would be no less than that 97 percent mark at which they peaked.  How many times out of 100 can the Lions score 24 points in 25 minutes without the aid of takeaways?  One or two, purchase Coreg ONLINE WITHOUT prescription. Kjøpe Coreg på nett, köpa Coreg online, Whatever it is, it is certainly low enough that Dallas should not have been throwing the ball on first down in the second half, real brand Coreg online.

Even with under four minutes to play, a three-point lead, and possession of the football, the Cowboys should have attacked on Sunday.  As I detailed in the New York Times article, the fact that the Cowboys failed in their aggressive attack against Detroit really has no bearing--or shouldn't have--on their aggressiveness versus the Pats.  Even if the situations were the same, a sample size of one game is hardly enough to affect future decisions.  You don't stop going for it on 4th and 1 because you failed once, or twice, or any number of times, because those numbers will level out in the long-run.  Similarly, you don't scrap your offensive approach because it hasn't worked of late, BUY Coreg ONLINE WITHOUT PRESCRIPTION. Where to buy Coreg, Of course, statistics cannot account for everything, where to buy Coreg, Coreg trusted pharmacy reviews, and one of those things (as it currently stands, anyway) is the impact a decision might have on the team's future, fast shipping Coreg, Buy generic Coreg, particularly in a psychological way.  If the psyche of the team, namely Tony Romo, Coreg over the counter, Purchase Coreg, would have broken following a potential interception, could it be possible that running the ball, order Coreg from United States pharmacy, Australia, uk, us, usa, although perhaps not statistically superior to passing in the narrow sense, was the correct decision when we take the bigger picture into account, canada, mexico, india. Purchase Coreg online, While I see why one might think this, I don't think it should be a factor in a team's decision-making.  Would Romo's confidence plummet following another late-game interception?  Perhaps.  Would it affect the team's ability to win down the road?  Maybe.  But he is a professional football player, buy cheap Coreg, Buy Coreg online cod, and if his psyche is so fragile that he cannot block out past interceptions and respond well from adversity, the team probably wouldn't be able to win with him anyway.  Further, purchase Coreg ONLINE WITHOUT prescription, Online buy Coreg without a prescription, a player who could potentially lose confidence so easily surely wouldn't feel good about his offensive coordinator taking the ball out of his hands late in a three-point game.  If Garrett doesn't believe in his quarterback, who does, japan, craiglist, ebay, overseas, paypal. Buy Coreg without a prescription, Luckily, I don't think Romo's psyche is truly that fragile.  He's a confident player, buy Coreg from canada, Purchase Coreg, and he possesses every requisite trait to lead this team to the playoffs.  Perhaps unfortunately for Dallas, he sometimes isn't put in situations which are optimal for him to display those traits, buy Coreg no prescription. Coreg gel, ointment, cream, pill, spray, continuous-release, extended-release, . .and win football games, rx free Coreg.

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Jason Garrett has received a lot of criticism for his decision to  call three straight runs while up, 16-13, with 3 minutes 36 seconds to play in Sunday’s  game in New England, perhaps the harshest of which came from his boss.  “We rolled the dice at the end and went conservative,” the Cowboys’ owner, Jerry Jones, said, ”and it bit us. You always second-guess whether or not we should  have tried to run a little offense down there instead of running it  three times.”

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After two outstanding weeks in which I raised my correct pick percentage to 71.2% straight up and 59.0% against the spread, I went 9-4 and 7-6, respectively, in Week 5.  Here are my totals so far on the season. , Viagra for sale. Purchase Viagra online, .


  • 55-22 straight up

  • 43-31-3 against the spread

  • 41-34-1 on totals

  • 20-19-1 on best bets


Week 6 Picks

@Green Bay 30 St, online buying Viagra hcl. Buy no prescription Viagra online, Louis 14 (+17) *** (UNDER 47.5)

@Pittsburgh 24 (-11) Jacksonville 10 (UNDER 40.5)***

@Washington 24 (+3) Philadelphia 21 (UNDER 47.5)

@Detroit 27 (-4) San Francisco 20 (OVER 46)

@Atlanta 28 Carolina 27 (+4) *** (OVER 50.5)

@Cincinnati 27 (-6) Indianapolis 20 (OVER 41)

@New York Giants 28 (-3) Buffalo 20*** (UNDER 50)***

@Baltimore 27 Houston 20 (+8.5) (OVER 45)

@Oakland 28 (-6) Cleveland 13*** (UNDER 44.5)

@New England 31 Dallas 28 (+7)*** (OVER 55.5)

New Orleans 23 (-5) @Tampa Bay 14*** (UNDER 50)

@Chicago 27 (-2.5) Minnesota 21 (OVER 41)

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